@inproceedings{Phi2021, Author = {Philipp Borchers, Dennis Lisiecki, Patrick Eschemann, Linda Feeken, Mehrnoush Hajnorouzi, Ingo Stierand}, Title = {Comparison of Production Dynamics Prediction Methods to Increase Context Awareness for Industrial Transport Systems}, Year = {2021}, Pages = {49-55}, Month = {10}, Publisher = {Reproduct NV, Ghent, Belgium}, Booktitle = {Modelling and Simulation 2021}, Organization = {EUROSIS}, type = {inproceedings}, Abstract = {The performance of factory-internal logistic systems plays a central role for the overall productivity of the factory of the future. A key element is the optimization of logistic systems based on predictive analytics of transport tasks in order to anticipate and to adapt to changes of the production flows in the factory. Although this information might be derivable from production plans and machine configurations, the data is often not available for transport systems like automated guided vehicles provided by third parties due to data protection concerns. Here, prediction needs to be based on observable information. In this paper, we investigate methods for the prediction of future transport tasks between machines based on recorded task histories. For this, we modify several prediction methods from the literature for making them applicable to predict timestamps and destinations of future tasks. The results are compared with evaluation data taken from a factory simulation via multiple metrics, which are revealing suitable predictors based on achieved prediction accuracy.} } @COMMENT{Bibtex file generated on }